Models Underestimate Island Impacts

In a new study published in the journal Nature Climate Change, a new way of modeling the effects of climate change on islands shows that previous analyses underestimated the number of islands that would become substantially more arid by mid century. Image from the paper and shows the internal variability of aridity with the estimated observed magnitude of  a local positive (dry) aridity change index event. Courtesy: Nature Climate Change and the authors.In a new study published in the journal Nature Climate Change, a new way of modeling the effects of climate change on islands shows that previous analyses underestimated the number of islands that would become substantially more arid by mid century. Image from the paper and shows the internal variability of aridity with the estimated observed magnitude of a local positive (dry) aridity change index event. Courtesy: Nature Climate Change and the authors.

Thousands of islands are too small to be accounted for in the global climate models used by scientists to measure the impacts of climate change. New research forecasts a dry future since island rainwater is vulnerable to continued warming. 

From the University of Colorado Boulder

Source

University of Colorado Boulder news release.

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